Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000174 0.000193 0.000213 0.000237 0.000263 0.000292 0.000326
2025-05-04 0.000138 0.000164 0.000196 0.000235 0.000284 0.000342 0.000418
2025-05-11 0.000117 0.000148 0.000186 0.000237 0.000305 0.000392 0.000514
2025-05-18 0.000102 0.000134 0.000176 0.000235 0.000318 0.000432 0.000601
2025-05-25 0.000090 0.000123 0.000168 0.000234 0.000330 0.000469 0.000689
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000114 0.000160 0.000231 0.000339 0.000502 0.000772
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000103 0.000149 0.000223 0.000338 0.000520 0.000835
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000099 0.000147 0.000225 0.000354 0.000565 0.000947
2025-06-22 0.000063 0.000096 0.000146 0.000230 0.000374 0.000617 0.001079
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000089 0.000139 0.000225 0.000376 0.000640 0.001163
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000082 0.000130 0.000215 0.000369 0.000645 0.001211
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000079 0.000127 0.000216 0.000380 0.000685 0.001334
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000077 0.000127 0.000220 0.000399 0.000745 0.001513
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000219 0.000409 0.000787 0.001663
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000221 0.000424 0.000845 0.001858
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000067 0.000118 0.000219 0.000432 0.000887 0.002028
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000064 0.000114 0.000218 0.000440 0.000930 0.002207
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000215 0.000445 0.000966 0.002376
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000057 0.000105 0.000208 0.000438 0.000976 0.002477
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000210 0.000455 0.001043 0.002750
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000214 0.000476 0.001124 0.003084
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000052 0.000100 0.000210 0.000475 0.001150 0.003258
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000048 0.000094 0.000201 0.000463 0.001142 0.003324